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Folgendes stand gestern in der Washington Post zu lesen:

Blair Urges Action Against Global Warming
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A39701-2005Jan26.htm
By Juliet Eilperin
Washington Post Staff Writer
Thursday, January 27, 2005; Page A08

The world's most powerful nations must act now to curb global warming, British Prime Minister Tony Blair told world leaders yesterday at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland.

Blair, who became president of the Group of Eight leading industrialized nations this month and will take the helm of the European Union in July, said he plans to use his two new posts to press for action on climate change and on alleviating poverty and political unrest in Africa...
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A39701-2005Jan26.htm

Zur Zeit dreht sich wieder einmal alles um den Treibhauseffekt und um die globale Erwärmung - obwohl uns doch Herr Michael Crichton in seiner neuen Worthülsensammlung "Welt in Angst" eindringlich gesagt hat, dass es eine globale Erwärmung nicht gibt (sie ist laut dem weltweit anerkannten Klimaexperten Crichton eine Erfindung von Ökoterroristen). Nun, ob er recht hat oder nicht, darüber können wir (vielleicht) in ein paar Jahren weiterreden.

Folgendes meinte auf jeden Fall gestern die englische TIMES:

Britain
January 27, 2005
Global warming may be twice as bad as feared
By Mark Henderson
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,2-1458347,00.html

THE impact of global warming could be twice as severe as the worst scenario feared by United Nations scientists, the world’s largest climate-modelling experiment has shown.

Average temperatures could rise by 11C (20F) to reach highs that would change the face of the globe, researchers who have run 60,000 computer simulations of climate change said yesterday.

The conclusions suggest that forecasts by the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) may be much too conservative. In the worst case, the world would eventually heat up by almost double the maximum increase envisaged by the panel. The IPCC’s latest report predicted that temperatures will rise by between 1.4C (2.5F) and 5.8C (10.4F) by 2100.

A world 11C warmer than it is today would be unrecognisable: while records show that the planet has been hotter than it is today for about 80 per cent of its history, there is no evidence that it has ever been more than about 7C warmer.

Although it would take hundreds of years for the full effects to be felt, the polar ice caps eventually would melt completely, causing sea levels to rise by 70m to 100m (230ft to 330ft). Coastal and low-lying cities such as London and New York would be submerged.

As the 11C figure is a global average, temperatures would be expected to climb even further in some regions.

David Stainforth, of the University of Oxford, the study’s chief scientist, said: “When I start to look at these figures, I get very worried about them. An 11-degree warmed world would be a dramatically different world.”

The results, published in Nature, have emerged from climateprediction.net, an experiment in which spare capacity on personal computers runs climate models.

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,2-1458347,00.html

 
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